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Does hiring Armstrong buy you the Kos community? by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15
Jerome Armstrong, the proprietor of MYDD.com is, as noted below, a paid consultant to Mark Warner. Jim Geraghty wonders if hiring Armstrong buys you more than just net consulting...he examines the question with a well-researched Armstrong-Kos timeline going back all the way to 2002.
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Warner netroots hire could be future liability by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

Much hyped potential 2008 Presidential candiate Mark Warner may regret hiring a card carrying member of the liberal netroots. Conversly, it could be possible that the liberal netroots in the future will regret their touting of Warner's candidacy.

Red State has a must read post on this: 

Back on January 14, 2005, Suellentrop wrote about the longstanding relationship between Markos Moulitsas Zuniga (a/k/a "Kos") and Jerome Armstrong. Suellentrop and others noticed a suspicious pattern developing. When Armstrong would start working for a candidate, Kos would start pimping the candidate.

In the long series of candidates pimped, we now find ourselves at 2008 presidential contender Mark Warner, who hired Jerome Armstrong to work for his campaign. Quid. Shortly thereafter Kos, in an interview, mentioned that Warner was a candidate who needed to be watched - even though Warner has kept a decidedly low profile on the Iraq War, which has otherwise been the signature issue of Kos-backed candidates. Quo? It seems that Warner's payments to Armstrong worked out well - except that the judgment that had Warner hire Armstrong could be what does him in. At a minimum, it suggests a gross failure on Warner's part to handle an essential requirement for a prospective president - vetting your staff to keep out known miscreants.

You see, in 2003 the Securities and Exchange Commission charged Armstrong with a violation of the federal securities laws* for touting a newly-traded stock called BluePoint on the "Raging Bull" internet message board in 2000 (at the height of the tech stock craze) without disclosing that he was paid at least $20,000 by the promoters of BluePoint. And Suellentrop reports that the SEC got Armstrong to agree to a bar from the business

The whole thing is worth reading. 

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Line item veto by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15
The House of Representatives may vote to give the President line item veto authority on Thursday. For more on this issue, go here.
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Iraq continues to split Dems by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

Democrats in the Senate are unable to find consensus on the Iraq issue. As the Senate debates the Department of Defense Appropriations bill, some Democrats are offering withdrawal resolutions, others are offering non-binding sense of the Senate relosutions while still others write wholly different amendments that would seemingly undermine the effort.

Congress Daily AM ($):

Unable to reach a party-wide consensus, Senate Democrats plan today to introduce two amendments to the FY07 defense authorization bill that offer vastly different views on how and when the United States should pull combat troops out of Iraq.

Most, if not all, Democrats believe the Bush administration should begin to decrease the number of U.S. troops deployed to Iraq this year. But the party remains divided over whether to mandate a firm timetable for complete withdrawal.

One wonders who in the Democratic party decided stirring up the Iraq issue on the DoD bill was a good idea. The more this issue is debated the more apparent it becomes that the minority party has no direction on the biggest issue facing our country.

UPDATE: The Note ponders: 

Could it be that the Democrats' inability to come up with a consensus 'anti-war' position is more of a midterm problem for them than HarrietMiersDubaideficits -Katrinaearmarksimmigrationgasprices is for the Republicans? After all the private meetings (including just endless ones in the Senate caucus), Democrats remain united in their disunity, defensiveness, and distraction.

H/T: Instapundit 

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Dems: Generals should decide, as long as they agree with us by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

A friend on the Hill sends this report from a press conference today in which the Democrats called for a timetable for pull out of Iraq:

At today’s press conference on their call for a “phased redeployment” of troops out of Iraq, Sens. Jack Reed and Carl Levin said that redeployment of our troops in Iraq should be determined by “military commanders based upon the conditions on the ground”—as long as the generals agree to do so in less than six months.

Sen. Reed: I've tried, and I Carl has tried, too, not to reflect simply the current moods of the people, but look on the ground to see what will allow us to finish this mission as successfully as possible. And that, in our view, is a phased redeployment of our forces out of Iraq in the most timely fashion; the timing to be determined on the ground by military commanders based upon the conditions on the ground.

Sen. Levin: Except that it would begin before the end of this year.

Sen. Reed: This year. I think it's important to do it this year.

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Democrats push cut and run plan by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

Apparently not content with the drubbing they took last week, Democrats will continue this week to offer amendments in the Senate that would put a timeline on troop withdrawal. Last week in the Senate a John Kerry amendment to withdraw the troops garnered only single-digit support. This week an amendment craftet by Jack Reed and Carl Levin to begin a phased troop withdrawal will likely attract more support from Dems.

Republicans will welcome the effort. Hugh Hewitt thinks its a good thing:

Good for them. Honesty as to the Democratic Party's intent should it win a majority in either House is exactly what the electorate needs for November.

Congressional leaders agree. The feeling on the Hill is that this is as good a time as any to continue this debate. As Michael Barone points out, Republicans stand unified on Iraq whie the Democratic caucus is in disarray:

In the meantime, Republicans are trying to make this a comparative election between Republicans and Democrats, not just an up-or-down vote on Bush. Senate and House Republicans last week staged debates over whether to pull out of Iraq now or stay on. Democrats complained that these were meaningless debates aimed (as they said the debates on the constitutional amendment to ban same sex marriages were) at dividing voters. But on these issues it is the Democrats -- their officeholders and their voters -- who are divided, while the Republicans, with a few exceptions, are all on one side.

The Democrats have profited politically from bad news in Iraq. Good news puts things in a different light and raises the question of just what Democrats would do if in power. For the moment, they are, as ranking House Armed Services Democrat Ike Skelton said, "absolutely" divided. That's not a good posture from which to face the voters.

Meanwhile, The Democrats de facto leader on the Iraq issue, John Murtha, is tripping all over his own arguments. True to Democratic form, Murtha has done a 180 on his old opinion that withdrawal would be devastating and now wants all of our troops to set up camp in Okinawa, even though he can't muster a good argument as to how a strike force so remote could have a timely impact on developments in Iraq.

UPDATE: Much more criticism of the Murtha Okinawa plan here. 

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Frist: Line item veto essential by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist today writes an Op-Ed for NRO in which he makes the case for giving the President a line item veto:

The president must have this authority for one simple reason: Under our current budget process, members of Congress can often slip pet programs or projects into massive appropriations bills that fund necessary, ongoing government operations. Few members of Congress, after all, would oppose the Department of the Interior’s nearly $10 billion budget because they don’t want to spend $350,000 for flower baskets in Chicago or stand against the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s almost $35 billion budget to deny a $550,000 grant to a glass museum in Tacoma, Washington. Under current law, however, most members have no real choice.

Partly as a result, Congress has a hard time eliminating unnecessary spending. The Office of Management and Budget, indeed, reports that over a quarter of all federal programs either do not work or can’t show any evidence that they do. Another 28 percent receive “adequate” ratings (indicating problems) while a mere 15 percent set and achieve the ambitious goals needed to earn OMB’s highest rating.

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Republican victories by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

Michael Barone points out some encouraging news for Republicans:

Things are looking up for George W. Bush, and maybe for his party.

The Democrats failed to win the special election in the 50th congressional district of California June 6. Abu Musab al-Zarqawi was killed on June 7. Special prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald announced he would not seek an indictment of chief Bush adviser Karl Rove on June 12. Bush made a dazzling surprise trip to Baghdad on June 13 and followed up with a confident press conference the next day. The Senate voted 93-6 on June 15 and the House 256-153 on June 17 against U.S. withdrawal from Iraq.

A turning point in the president's political fortunes? Maybe. But I'm inclined to think that Bush and the Republicans were not in quite as much trouble as most in the press thought, and I'm not sure these developments will produce an immediate surge in Bush's poll ratings.

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Will: Republicans focused on short term by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

George Will points out how the immigration issue is playing in key races like Pennsylvania and concludes that Republicans up for reelection are content to aim for short term gain at the price of a long term loss:

Republicans very much want to pass an immigration bill as proof their party can govern. For that reason, there is no reason to expect Senate Democrats to compromise by passing something like the House bill. Nothing very different from it has any chance of being accepted by the House. So, assuming, as it seems safe to do, that the House-Senate conference fails to produce a compromise acceptable to both houses, when Congress returns to Washington after the Labor Day recess the House may again pass essentially what it passed in December, just to enable Republicans to campaign on the basis of a clear and recent stance against exactly what Santorum's ad stands against.

The cost of this, paid in the coin of lost support among Latinos, the nation's largest and fastest growing minority, may be reckoned later, for years. Remember this: Out West, feelings of all sorts about immigration policy are particularly intense, and if John Kerry had won a total of 127,014 more votes in New Mexico, Nevada and Colorado, states with burgeoning Latino populations, he would have carried those states and won the election. But for now, the minds of Republican candidates are concentrated on a shorter time horizon -- the next four and a half months.

I am not so sure it has to be so cut and dry. I am also not convinced that this is a long-term calamity waiting to happen. 

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A race to the bottom? by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15
This CNN headline is all about Bush's bad poll numbers dragging down Republicans in the fall. But the article points out an interesting trend that the Dems should be worried about:
When voters were asked which party would be their choice for Congress in November, 45 percent said Democrat and 38 percent Republican. Twelve percent were unsure. However, in May, Democrats captured 52 percent in the same generic ballot question, showing their support had dropped 7 points in a month. The level of Republican support was unchanged, indicating voters had moved from the Democratic column to unsure.
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Immigration reform dead? by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

According to Robert Novak, House Majority Leader John Boehner is telling people immigration reform is dead:

Within two days last week, House Majority Leader John Boehner changed from sunny optimism about prospects for passing an immigration bill this summer to a bleak, negative outlook. The reason was that Boehner got the word from House Speaker Dennis Hastert.

Boehner on Tuesday was upbeat in addressing a breakfast forum at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which supports a guest worker program. He indicated he would resolve differences between the restrictive House bill and the much more liberal Senate bill by the Fourth of July.

But at a closed luncheon Wednesday at Charlie Palmer's restaurant, attended by financial contributors to House Republicans, Boehner declared that the immigration bill was all but dead. That change followed Boehner's conversation late Tuesday with Hastert, who made clear he did not want to pursue the issue that splits the Republican Party.

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House rejects troop withdrawal by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

Today the House of Representatives rejected troop withdrawal and announced further resolve to see it through in Iraq.

The AP:

The House on Friday handily rejected a timetable for pulling U.S. forces out of Iraq, culminating a fiercely partisan debate between Republicans and Democrats feeling the public's apprehension about war and the onrushing midterm campaign season.

In a 256-153 vote, the GOP-led House approved a nonbinding resolution that praises U.S. troops, labels the Iraq war part of the larger global fight against terrorism and says an "arbitrary date for the withdrawal or redeployment" of troops is not in the national interest.

"Retreat is not an option in Iraq," declared House Majority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio. "Achieving victory is our only option, for the American people and our kids."

"Stay the course, I don't think so Mr. President. It's time to face the facts," House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi of California answered, as she called for a new direction in the conflict. "The war in Iraq has been a mistake. I say, a grotesque mistake."

Today's vote was the culmination of a week's worth of GOP efforts to make a renewed push on the Iraq war. On the Senate side, troop withdrawal supported by John Kerry was roundly rebuffed in bipartisan fashion.

Republicans on the Hill finally feel the wind at their backs on this issue after the killing of Zarqawi. Meanwhile, Democrats this week were treated to a vicious intra-party fight over strategy that in the end seems to have shattered their caucus for the short term.

UPDATE: Hugh Hewitt has a copy of the text of today's House Resolution that drew the ire of a majority of the Dems. 

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Frist wants death tax repeal by July 4 by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

Congressional Quarterly reports:

Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist on Friday said he will find a way to pass an estate tax repeal within the next two weeks.

That proposal is one of several that Frist intends to shoehorn into the already crowded summer schedule.

“I am not leaving the U.S. Senate without finding a permanent fix,” said the Tennessee Republican, who intends to leave Congress at the end of his term this year.

The package Frist is pushing for will have to be compromised in order to make ith through the Senate. The full death tax repeal was defeated in the Senate last week.

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Tancredo's tactics by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

Horatius at Red State goes after Tom Tancredo for his brutish tactics towarnd fellow Repblicans engaged in the immigration debate.

Let me be clear. I agree with Tancredo a lot. The Senate immigration bill provides unadulterated amnesty and should be opposed. I believe that we should secure the border first and foremost. However, I am not opposed to all guest-worker programs and am open to being convinced by people like Mike Pence. (I haven’t yet read through his bill or materials to be able to say that I support it.) And I certainly don’t think that a normally, reliable conservative, like Chris Cannon, should be targeted for defeat or that a true conservative hero should have to sit in a counterfactual dunk tank like the “Pence Watch" and be thrown at by individuals who have done far less for the cause.

Tom Tancredo is becoming a political hack, and there is simply no way that he speaks for all of the 99 Members who are in his caucus just because they think that illegal immigration is out of control and needs “reform.” It is time for his colleagues to publicly reveal that he doesn’t speak for them.

I agree. Yesterday in my column I expressed disappointment with the tactics of the Tancredo crowd, especially in regard to Mike Pence and his immigration reform plan: 

They’re so adamant about the perceived wrong-headedness of his plan that they appear willing to dismiss the young conservative as a has-been. Indeed, rather than disagreement followed by dialogue, some appear ready to banish the Republican Study Committee’s Chairman to the hinterlands of the conservative movement. In the above mentioned column Buchanan insists that the adoption of the Pence plan will mark “the end of Mike Pence as a rising star of the GOP.”

That would be a shame.

The idea that some so-called conservatives would abandon an up-and-coming Reaganite because they disagree with his good-faith attempt to find a workable immigration solution is a measure of the temperature at which this debate is being conducted.

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Hillary is scary by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

This new poll sounds about right:

WASHINGTON - A new poll found the prospect of a President Hillary Clinton scares more Americans than any other likely 2008 candidate.

When a Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll asked which of four potential candidates for President "frightens you the most," 36% said the New York senator.

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Is this what happens when you get elected? by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15
Andy Roth points out that the newly elected Brian Bilbray is voting differently than he talked during the campaign regarding the earmarking issue.
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Dems cry foul on Iraq war resolution by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

The House of Representatives is debating a resolution that declares, among other things, that "the United States will prevail in the Global War on Terror, the struggle to protect freedom from the terrorist adversary."

To nobody's great surprise, Democrats have a problem with the resolution. Some held a press conference yesterday complaining that their hands were tied because they were unable to amend it.

The Influence Peddler asks:

Now what is so unfair about this resolution? Either you agree with it or you don't. The Democrats complain that this resolution politicizes the debate. Are you kidding me?

This complaint comes from the same folks who went to Baghdad before the war and said they believed Saddam over President Bush. The same folks that complained that the press can't film coffins arriving from Iraq. The same people who ran to the cameras breathlessly to excoriate the President over Abu Gharib and Haditha, and who say that regardless of what the facts may ultimately show about such events, senior military officials should be punished, and Rumsfeld forced to resign. The same folks who are trying to rewrite history on the questions of WMD in Iraq.

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Poll: Santorum within single digits by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15
The latest PA poll shows Rick Santorum much closer to Bob Casey, Jr. than the last poll had him.
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The politics of the Pence immigration bill by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15
That is the subject of my column today:
Indiana Congressman Mike Pence has proposed what he calls a “middle ground” in the debate over immigration reform. For his efforts Pence is now the subject of harsh criticism from both sides of the debate. But it is the criticism from the anti-immigration hard-liners on the right that threatens Pence’s standing as a hero to conservatives. Pence has done well to line up the support of many influential policy makers. But will it be enough to temper the relentless criticism from the hard liners?
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Senate legislation aims to stop overspending by TimChapman

TownHall.com - Capitol Report - Thu, 2024-05-02 18:15

New Hampshire Senator Judd Gregg flanked by Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist and other Republican Senators today introduced "Stop Over Spending" Legislation. The SOS package is a series of budget reform measures designed to slow the growth of federal spending and cut entitlements.

Perhaps the most high profile provision in the SOS Act is a Presidential line item veto that would give the President the power to pare back irresponsible spending and shine a spotlight on egregious pork projects. Of course, this only works if the President actually uses the power...but let's assume he will.

The SOS bill also seeks to address the growing problem of lawmakers designating non emergency funding as "emergencies" in order to expedite their projects. Railroad to Nowhere anyone?...

Another highlight of the SOS Act is a provision for biennial budgeting -- this provision would allow greater oversight of the expenditure of American taxpayer dollars.

On his blog, Bill Frist sounds optimistic:

We have a $9 trillion federal debt in America today, a debt fueled by out of control spending, a debt which places a mortgage on the future of our children.

If Washington is to live within its means – just as every American family must live within its means – bold, innovative and structural reforms are necessary...

As Majority Leader, it is my goal to see that we enact all or any part of the Stop Over-Spending Act this year – because we can no longer turn a blind eye to excessive spending and a broken budget process.

Indeed. Is this another sign that the GOP is beginning to see the light on the spending issue?

Expect Democrats to vigorously oppose these measures as they would directly impact their ability to promise the world to their constituents. 

In the extended section is a list of Republican cosponsors of the bill as well as a press release from GOP leadership today.

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